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Notes from the estimating desk

Short, practical pieces on how estimates are built, classed, priced and defended. Written from live projects, names removed.

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All Estimate classes Risk Method Brownfield Pricing basis Validation
18 articles
Risk7 min read

Contingency is not padding

Contingency is the expected cost of known uncertainties, priced. Where the number comes from, who owns it, and how to defend it in front of a board.

July 30, 2026Read
Brownfield7 min read

The productivity factor on live plants

Shutdown windows, permits and congestion. What a brownfield tie-in does to installation norms, and how to build the factor area by area.

June 18, 2026Read
Pricing basis8 min read

Reading a vendor quote like an estimator

Scope splits, exclusions and validity. The checklist we run before a quote is allowed to carry an estimate, and the sheet that makes quotes comparable.

May 27, 2026Read
Validation9 min read

What a peer review actually checks

An independent review is not a second estimate. The eleven questions we ask of someone else's number, and the two that find most of the problems.

April 29, 2026Read
Risk7 min read

Presenting a range without losing the room

Owners want one number. The estimate is a distribution. How to show P10, P50 and P90 so decision-makers use them instead of ignoring them.

April 8, 2026Read
Pricing basis9 min read

Building a labour rate from the ground up

Base wage, burdens, premium time, small tools and supervision. Why an all-in rate borrowed from another project is the most common pricing error.

March 25, 2026Read
Validation9 min read

Reconciling two estimates that disagree

The contractor says 240, the owner says 190. Neither is lying. A method for finding where the 50 lives before anyone argues about it.

March 11, 2026Read
Method7 min read

A WBS that survives construction

The estimate structure is inherited by cost control, scheduling and claims. How to build one all three can live with for five years.

March 4, 2026Read
Risk8 min read

Escalation is a risk, not a footnote

The assumed escalation rate deserves the same scrutiny as any other line. How to price it by commodity, cash-flowed to the midpoint of spend.

February 25, 2026Read
Brownfield7 min read

Treat the shutdown as its own project

The work inside a turnaround window needs its own estimate, schedule and risk model, separate from the months of preparation around it.

February 11, 2026Read
Pricing basis8 min read

Indirects are not a percentage

Site overheads on a long, remote or phased project can exceed the direct labour. Build them from the schedule and the organisation chart, not a ratio.

February 4, 2026Read
Brownfield7 min read

As-builts you cannot trust

Every brownfield estimate leans on drawings of what is already there. What to do when they are wrong, and how to price not knowing.

January 14, 2026Read

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